Monday, January 18, 2010

67th Annual Golden Globe Awards predictions

Yep, it's that time of year again: time to see who'll snub Seacrest on the red carpet, which celebs will be in the bathroom when their names are called, who'll deliver the drunkest acceptance speech, and just how many trophies Up in the Air will take home. But, there's a big difference between who'll win and who should.

Here are my best bets. Check 'em out and let me know your thoughts, but don't blame me if you don't sweep the office pool. And don't forget to tune into the 67th Annual Golden Globe Awards, airing live on Sunday, January 17, 2010 on NBC.

Best Motion Picture - Drama

Nominees: Avatar, The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds, Precious, Up in the Air

Who Will Win: Up in the Air

Who Should Win: Inglourious Basterds

Why: Avatar and Precious don't have legit shots at winning. And with Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) members splitting their votes between The Hurt Locker and Inglourious Basterds, Up in the Air will take flight ... and the trophy.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Nominees: Emily Blunt (The Young Victoria), Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side), Helen Mirren (The Last Station), Carey Mulligan (An Education), Gabourey Sidibe (Precious)

Who Will Win: Carey Mulligan (An Education)

Who Should Win: Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side)

Why: The HFPA has a reputation for awarding ingénues. As a result, Ms. Mulligan will emerge victorious, unless of course Gabby Sidibe sneaks out the win. But Sandra's fans shouldn't fret; she has a real shot at winning an Academy Award come March.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Nominees: Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart), George Clooney (Up in the Air), Colin Firth (A Single Man), Morgan Freeman (Invictus), Tobey Maguire (Brothers)

Who Will Win: George Clooney (Up in the Air)

Who Should Win: Colin Firth (A Single Man)

Why: Despite Firth's heartbreaking performance and Bridges' award-worthy work, Clooney will have to make room on his mantle for a third Globe simply because voters adore him.

Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

Nominees: 500 Days of Summer, The Hangover, It's Complicated, Julie & Julia, Nine

Who Will Win: Nine

Who Should Win: 500 Days of Summer

Why: The HFPA will deem 500 Days too edgy, The Hangover too raunchy, and Meryl's two films unworthy compared to Rob Marshall's glitzy, glamorous, star-studded spectacular.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Nominees: Sandra Bullock (The Proposal), Marion Cotillard (Nine), Julia Roberts (Duplicity), Meryl Streep (It's Complicated), Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia)

Who Will Win: Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia)

Who Should Win: Meryl Streep (It's Complicated)

Why: Sandra deserves her nom but doesn't have a shot. Marion deserves her nom but doesn't have a shot. Julia doesn't deserve her nom and doesn't have a shot. So, it's Meryl vs. Meryl. Despite the fact that I found Meryl way more appealing in Complicated, a performance in a biopic will always prevail.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Nominees: Matt Damon (The Informant!), Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine), Robert Downey Jr. (Sherlock Holmes), Joseph Gordon-Levitt (500 Days of Summer), Michael Stuhlbarg (A Serious Man)

Who Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine)

Who Should Win: Michael Stuhlbarg (A Serious Man)

Why: Damon, Downey Jr., and Gordon-Levitt aren't strong contenders in the race, and unfortunately, Stuhlbarg will be snubbed. As a result, DDL -- who, like Clooney is revered by HFPA voters -- will triumph.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

Nominees: Penelope Cruz (Nine), Vera Farmiga (Up in the Air), Anna Kendrick (Up in the Air), Mo'Nique (Precious), Julianne Moore (A Single Man)

Who Will Win: Mo'Nique (Precious)

Who Should Win: Julianne Moore (A Single Man)

Why: With Vera Farmiga and Anna Kendrick splitting the vote and Penelope Cruz out of contention, it comes down to five-time nominee Julianne Moore and newcomer Mo'Nique. Personally, I think Julianne deserves the win thanks to a painfully underrated performance, but there's no doubt in my mind that Mo'Nique will win and deliver a mag'nifique acceptance speech.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

Nominees: Matt Damon (Invictus), Woody Harrelson (The Messenger), Christopher Plummer (The Last Station), Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones), Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)

Who Will Win: Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)

Who Should Win: Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)

Why: Let's be honest: Christoph Waltz gave one of the best supporting performances in recent memory. And with minimal pressure from his fellow nominees, he'll be waltzing away with his first, much-deserved Globe.

Best Animated Feature Film

Nominees: Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs, Coraline, Fantastic Mr. Fox, The Princess and the Frog, Up

Who Will Win: Up

Who Should Win: Fantastic Mr. Fox

Why: Up is a fan favorite and a critical darling. This is a no-brainer ... although I must say I feel Fantastic Mr. Fox is being robbed!

Best Director - Motion Picture

Nominees: Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker), James Cameron (Avatar), Clint Eastwood (Invictus), Jason Reitman (Up in the Air), Quentin Tarantino (Inglourious Basterds)

Who Will Win: James Cameron (Avatar)

Who Should Win: Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker)

Why: Bigelow deserves it more than any of the other nominees. And how awesome would it be to see a woman win, especially a woman who also happens to be one of James Cameron's many ex-wives? The drama surrounding this race is delicious, but the winner will be unappetizing.

Best Television Series - Drama

Nominees: Big Love, Dexter, House, Mad Men, True Blood

Who Will Win: Mad Men

Who Should Win: Big Love

Why: After delivering its best season and best performances to date, HBO's polygamist party more than deserves to be recognized by the HFPA. Unfortunately, voters are more concerned with supporting the buzziest show on the small screen. As a result, Mad Men will emerge victorious ... again. Boring!


No comments: